{"id":163134,"date":"2026-01-22T08:55:00","date_gmt":"2026-01-22T11:55:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/portaltela.pt\/noticias\/2026\/01\/22\/quatro-milhoes-de-simulacoes-tracam-destinos-de-sporting-benfica\/"},"modified":"2026-01-22T08:55:00","modified_gmt":"2026-01-22T11:55:00","slug":"quatro-milhoes-de-simulacoes-tracam-destinos-de-sporting-benfica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/portaltela.pt\/desporto\/futebol\/2026\/01\/22\/quatro-milhoes-de-simulacoes-tracam-destinos-de-sporting-benfica\/","title":{"rendered":"Quatro milh\u00f5es de simula\u00e7\u00f5es tra\u00e7am destinos de Sporting\/Benfica"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>O portal MisterChip, especialista em estat\u00edsticas de futebol, partilhou quatro milh\u00f5es de simula\u00e7\u00f5es realizadas por um supercomputador. O objetivo \u00e9 avaliar a classifica\u00e7\u00e3o da fase regular da Liga dos Campe\u00f5es e as hip\u00f3teses de apuramento de Sporting e Benfica.<\/p>\n<p>Segundo as contas, o Sporting ocupa a 10\u00aa posi\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 entrada da \u00faltima jornada, com 13 pontos. A probabilidade de terminar no top 16 \u00e9 de 99,96%, enquanto o acesso direto aos oitavos, via top8, fica-se pelos 23%.<\/p>\n<p>Para o Benfica, o cen\u00e1rio \u00e9 menos favor\u00e1vel. As simula\u00e7\u00f5es apontam 84% de possibilidade de elimina\u00e7\u00e3o direta, sem vaga no top24. H\u00e1 16% de hip\u00f3teses de seguir para o playoff. O top16 e o top8 j\u00e1 aparecem como imposs\u00edveis.<\/p>\n<h3>Progn\u00f3sticos por equipa<\/h3>\n<p>No caso do Sporting, a conclus\u00e3o \u00fatil \u00e9 que o top24 garante o playoff, o top16 \u00e9 quase certo e o top8 \u00e9 ainda improv\u00e1vel, mas n\u00e3o descartado.<\/p>\n<p>No Benfica, as probabilidades indicam pouca margem de manobra: elimina\u00e7\u00e3o direta na maioria das simula\u00e7\u00f5es, com apenas uma parcela de possibilidade de avan\u00e7ar para o playoff.<\/p>\n<h3>Equipas com maior probabilidade de terminar no top8<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Arsenal 100%<\/li>\n<li>Bayern Munique 100%<\/li>\n<li>Liverpool 92%<\/li>\n<li>Real Madrid 86%<\/li>\n<li>Barcelona 76%<\/li>\n<li>PSG 69%<\/li>\n<li>Manchester City 61%<\/li>\n<li>Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid 55%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Fonte: MisterChip<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>MisterChip publicou quatro milh\u00f5es de simula\u00e7\u00f5es com um supercomputador para a fase regular da Liga dos Campe\u00f5es, incluindo as perspetivas de Sporting e Benfica.<\/li>\n<li>Sporting, a entrar na \u00faltima jornada no 10.\u00ba lugar com treze pontos, tem 99,96% de probabilidade de terminar no top 16 e 23% de alcan\u00e7ar o top 8 para evitar o playoff.<\/li>\n<li>Benfica enfrenta 84% de probabilidade de elimina\u00e7\u00e3o direta, ficando sem vaga no top 24; h\u00e1 16% de hip\u00f3tese de seguir para o playoff.<\/li>\n<li>Segundo as simula\u00e7\u00f5es, o top 16 e o top 8 j\u00e1 est\u00e3o fora do alcance do Benfica.<\/li>\n<li>Entre as equipas com maior probabilidade de terminar no top 8 est\u00e3o Arsenal, Bayern Munique (ambos 100%), Liverpool (92%), Real Madrid (86%), Barcelona (76%), PSG (69%), Manchester City (61%) e Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid (55%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":163144,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21,24],"tags":[628,1720,1946,3577,32,1652],"class_list":["post-163134","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-desporto","category-futebol","tag-arsenal-da-maia","tag-bayern-munique","tag-benfica","tag-champions-league","tag-futebol","tag-sporting"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Quatro milh\u00f5es de simula\u00e7\u00f5es tra\u00e7am destinos de Sporting\/Benfica - Portal Tela Portugal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Quatro milh\u00f5es de simula\u00e7\u00f5es tra\u00e7am destinos de Sporting\/Benfica - Portal Tela Portugal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"MisterChip publicou quatro milh\u00f5es de simula\u00e7\u00f5es com um supercomputador para a fase regular da Liga dos Campe\u00f5es, incluindo as perspetivas de Sporting e Benfica. Sporting, a entrar na \u00faltima jornada no 10.\u00ba lugar com treze pontos, tem 99,96% de probabilidade de terminar no top 16 e 23% de alcan\u00e7ar o top 8 para evitar o playoff. Benfica enfrenta 84% de probabilidade de elimina\u00e7\u00e3o direta, ficando sem vaga no top 24; h\u00e1 16% de hip\u00f3tese de seguir para o playoff. Segundo as simula\u00e7\u00f5es, o top 16 e o top 8 j\u00e1 est\u00e3o fora do alcance do Benfica. Entre as equipas com maior probabilidade de terminar no top 8 est\u00e3o Arsenal, Bayern Munique (ambos 100%), Liverpool (92%), Real Madrid (86%), Barcelona (76%), PSG (69%), Manchester City (61%) e Atl\u00e9tico de Madrid (55%).\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/portaltela.pt\/noticias\/2026\/01\/22\/quatro-milhoes-de-simulacoes-tracam-destinos-de-sporting-benfica\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Portal Tela Portugal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-01-22T11:55:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Telinha\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Telinha\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tempo estimado de leitura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minuto\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/portaltela.pt\/noticias\/2026\/01\/22\/quatro-milhoes-de-simulacoes-tracam-destinos-de-sporting-benfica\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/portaltela.pt\/noticias\/2026\/01\/22\/quatro-milhoes-de-simulacoes-tracam-destinos-de-sporting-benfica\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Telinha\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/portaltela.pt\/#\/schema\/person\/c4278d4a6028830caff9ee44b42d32ed\"},\"headline\":\"Quatro milh\u00f5es de simula\u00e7\u00f5es tra\u00e7am destinos de Sporting\/Benfica\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-01-22T11:55:00+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/portaltela.pt\/noticias\/2026\/01\/22\/quatro-milhoes-de-simulacoes-tracam-destinos-de-sporting-benfica\/\"},\"wordCount\":215,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/portaltela.pt\/noticias\/2026\/01\/22\/quatro-milhoes-de-simulacoes-tracam-destinos-de-sporting-benfica\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/portaltela.pt\/s.01k8rhncp4jt1\/2026\/01\/img_920x518uu2026-01-22-11-55-13-2416527-2.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Arsenal da Maia\",\"Bayern Munique\",\"Benfica\",\"Champions League\",\"futebol\",\"Sporting\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Desporto\",\"Futebol\"],\"inLanguage\":\"pt-PT\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/portaltela.pt\/noticias\/2026\/01\/22\/quatro-milhoes-de-simulacoes-tracam-destinos-de-sporting-benfica\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/portaltela.pt\/noticias\/2026\/01\/22\/quatro-milhoes-de-simulacoes-tracam-destinos-de-sporting-benfica\/\",\"name\":\"Quatro milh\u00f5es de simula\u00e7\u00f5es tra\u00e7am destinos de Sporting\/Benfica - 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